
Drone World
Monthly Bulletin
AUGUST 2025: This bulletin has been prepared through the collection and analysis of open-source information. It provides a concise overview of key military and civilian advancements observed across European and Scandinavian countries. Published by ESTA:
Military Section
Topic:
Sochi oil terminal fire after long‑range UAV strike (Aug 3)
Summary: Night-time one-way/loitering UAV attack triggered a large blaze near Sochi’s fuel infrastructure. Visuals indicate low‑altitude approach, likely multi‑axis launch, and deliberate focus on fuel logistics nodes to strain rear‑area defenses. [1]
Topic:
Explosives‑laden drone from Belarus found in Lithuania (announced Aug 5)
Summary: A UAV with approx. 2 kg explosive was found at Gaižiūnai training area. Officials indicate likely deviation under electronic warfare effects during broader attacks—highlighting cross‑border drift risk for NATO airspace. [2]
Topic:
Russian Shahed‑type drone debris in eastern Poland (Aug 20–21)
Summary: A device resembling a Russian Geran/Shahed variant exploded near Osiny, shattering windows. Tactically, this projects land‑war pressure into NATO‑adjacent airspace and underscores the need for positive ID and safe neutralization SOPs. [3] [4]
Topic:
Rostov/Krasnodar refineries & terminals hit in late‑Aug salvos (Aug 26–28)
Summary: Novoshakhtinsk and other facilities suffered multi‑night fires. Open‑source imagery indicates multi‑axis salvos prioritizing fuel/port nodes; macro‑effect: double‑digit refinery throughput dips and domestic fuel‑tightness signals. [5] [6]
Civil Section
Topic:
North Sea BVLOS: UK→Norway single‑shot high‑altitude RPAS (AIP SUP published Aug 21)
Summary: AIP SUP 069/2025 establishes a Temporary Danger Area for 01–30 Sept: Tingwall (Shetland) → Haugesund. Profile: 5,000–8,000 ft AMSL, maritime transit, cross‑FIR coordination. A clear, transparent airspace‑notification model for long‑range BVLOS. [7] [8]
Topic:
Norway: TDA set for Windracers BVLOS cargo ops (AIP SUP 48/2025)
Summary: Issued 25 July; active into September. Norwegian side creates temporary danger areas to offset incomplete detect‑and‑avoid by airspace design—solid precedent for sea‑overflight BVLOS corridors. [9] [10]
Topic:
UK CAA — Airspace Modernisation Strategy, Part 3 (Aug 1)
Summary: Second edition (Aug 2025) confirms progress on UK‑SORA (JARUS 2.5‑based) with digital submission flows; outlines PDRA→UK‑SORA transition and BVLOS scaling path—useful roadmap for EU/UK cross‑planners. [11] [12]
Topic:
SORA uses Copernicus/GHSL population data — verified (Aug 19)
Summary: EUSPA reports GHSL population density accepted by authorities (Belgium demo) as a valid ground‑risk input for SORA, enabling a 20 km medical BVLOS mission—pushing repeatable, auditable datasets into approvals. [13] [14]
Detailed Takeaways
Military Operators
- Deep strikes on fuel/logistics nodes: The August attacks on Russian refineries and terminals showed sustained use of low altitude + multiple routes + EW-resistant navigation (INS/EO). Layered C-UAS (multi-band radar + IR search + mobile RF) and passive hardening (fire/secondary-explosion precautions) are critical. [15]
- Cross-border deviation and demonstration effect: The Lithuania/Poland cases point to electronic-warfare drift and provocation risk; positive identification + safe disposal SOPs and NATO coordination should be updated. [16]
Civil Regulators / Operators
- “Airspace-based safety” for over-sea BVLOS: The UK→NO TDA model showed that high altitude and transparent NOTAM/AIP SUP can manage risk; RID/ADS-B visibility and FIR coordination should be planned early. [17]
- Data-driven SORA: Formal encouragement of Copernicus/GHSL standardizes ground-risk calculations; providing repeatable datasets in applications reduces objections.
EU Agency for the Space Programme [18] - Strategic framework: AMS Part 3 with UK-SORA’s digital flow provides foresight on document and process alignment for operators planning Europe–UK missions. [19]
Manufacturers & R&D
- Design-for-Compliance (SAIL III/UK-SORA): Design packages producing OSO evidence with test reports + verification matrices (energy management, behavior under loss of control, recording/traceability) create approval-ready product differentiation. [20]
- BVLOS hardware stack: For long-range, over-sea missions, GNSS robustness, link reliability, emergency/RTL logic, and salt-humidity/high-wind resistance are key for marketing and certification. Ground-station/dock stability and RID/ADS-B integration are essential. [21]
References (Open Access)
[1] Guardian brief — Sochi oil terminal fire after drone strike (Aug 3, 2025)
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/aug/03/sochi-oil-terminal-drone-attack-fire
[2] LRT English — Explosive device found in drone from Belarus that crashed in Lithuania (Aug 5, 2025)
https://www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-english/19/2634744/explosive-device-found-in-drone-from-belarus-that-crashed-in-lithuania
[3] Reuters — Russian drone fell in eastern Poland, Warsaw says (Aug 20, 2025)
https://www.reuters.com/world/russian-drone-fell-eastern-poland-warsaw-says-2025-08-20/
[4] AP News recap — Drone debris in eastern Poland (Aug 21, 2025)
https://apnews.com/article/84f14e0b36271ad64cc4929751602f2b
[5] Reuters wrap‑ups — Russia refinery fires late August 2025 (open previews)
https://www.reuters.com/world/
[6] Guardian market impact brief — Russia refinery fires (late Aug 2025)
https://www.theguardian.com/
[7] UK NATS — AIP SUP 069/2025 (PDF)
https://nats-uk.ead-it.com/cms-nats/opencms/en/Publications/aip-supplements/EG_Sup_2025_069_en.pdf
[8] UK NATS — AIP Supplements index
https://nats-uk.ead-it.com/cms-nats/opencms/en/Publications/aip-supplements/
[9] Avinor AIS — AIP SUP index
https://partner.avinor.no/en/ais/sup/
[10] Avinor — SUP 48/2025 (PDF)
https://avinor.no/globalassets/_microsite/ais-portal/aip-sup/en_sup_2025_a_048_en.pdf
[11] UK CAA — AMS Part 3, landing page (CAP1711b)
https://www.caa.co.uk/our-work/publications/documents/content/cap1711b/
[12] UK CAA — AMS Part 3 PDF (Edition 2, Aug 2025)
https://www.caa.co.uk/publication/download/25634
[13] EUSPA — Copernicus/GHSL population data for SORA ground risk (Aug 19, 2025)
https://www.euspa.europa.eu/newsroom-events/news/safer-drone-operations-through-verified-use-copernicus-population-data
[14] EUSPA — social snippet (backup open source)
https://www.facebook.com/EU4Space/posts/1103988491906367/
[19] https://www.caa.co.uk/publication/download/25634?utm